latest polls uk
We will refer to the election as if it were to take place 5 years after the last one unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen. This service is provided on News Group Newspapers' Limited's Standard Terms and Conditions in accordance with our Privacy & Cookie Policy. Recent voting intention figures continue to show a moderate Conservative lead of between 6 and 9 points. “There is so much work to do.”, Joe Biden's biggest challenge may begin the day after Election Day. 2021 Welsh Assembly Election. Obama also used his platform at yesterday’s socially distanced drive-in rally to encourage a high voter turnout on 3 November, urging young people in particular to “give this a shot”. Trump is also up against a campaign that has broken all records for its spend on television and digital advertising in a presidential election, with still more than a week to go before polls close. Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls in each country and on what Europe thinks and why. There are 538 electors in total and for Biden or Trump to win they need to win 270 or more votes. We’ve had a couple of polls showing the main parties neck-and-neck in recent weeks (there was another one yesterday from Redfield & Wilton, showing them both at 40%). Home of the Daily and Sunday Express. Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom Are you sure you want to delete this comment? Boris Johnson was elected primarily on a platform of delivering Brexit – it is still seen as one of the most important issues facing the country, and the Conservatives still have a solid lead on delivering it. UK & Ireland 11:33 20-Oct-20 Polls show consistent support for Scottish independence Socialist Worker 11:12 20-Oct-20 Macmillan tops YouGov’s CharityIndex rankings YouGov 10:28 20-Oct-20 Note that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias.[34]. View our online Press Pack. You can also choose to be emailed when someone replies to your comment. The BBC poll of polls looks at the individual national polls from the last 14 days and creates trend lines using the median value, i.e. Trump has improved his standing in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin since September," says Fox News. The election was held on 12 December 2019. POLITICO Europe tracks polling data for every European election and country. Mr Trump, meanwhile, has a slim 3 point lead in Ohio (45-48 per cent), which he won by 8 percentage points in 2016. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article. In YouGov’s regular “best PM” question Starmer led Johnson by 34 to 32% last week – the first time the Labour leader has been in the lead since a single poll straight after the 2017 election. October 27 — Corporate responsibility for supply chains: which framework for the EU? Latest polls on politics, celebrities and latest news events. Looking away from the coronavirus polling it is now almost two months since Keir Starmer became Labour leader, so we have an initial chance to see how he’s registered with the general public. Home of the Daily and Sunday Express. Are you sure you want to mark this comment as inappropriate? According to the latest Fox News poll, Mr Biden was 12 points ahead in Michigan (52-40 per cent), 5 points ahead in Pennsylvania (50-45 per cent), and 5 points ahead in  Wisconsin (49-44 per cent). Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held approximately every 5 years under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act (FTPA), but it is possible for an early general election to take place. That would increase the chances of another independence referendum in the near future. Here are the latest polls. News Corp is a network of leading companies in the worlds of diversified media, news, education, and information services. Our journalists strive for accuracy but on occasion we make mistakes. Judging by his initial poll ratings, Starmer appears to have passed this initial test. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. More importantly it appears to have damaged the government’s wider support, with the three polls conducted since then showing a Conservative lead of only 5 or 6 points. Despite the Republican president’s more reserved approach to Thursday night’s clash in Nashville - which was far less chaotic and acrimonious than their previous encounter in Cleveland on 29 September - Mr Trump still came under attack on issues such as the coronavirus, race and climate change. 2019 European Parliament Election. Copyright Anthony Wells 2004-2013. That knocked the Conservative lead in the polls down to the low teens, and first pushed their approval rating into negative territory. The YouGov MRP poll showed the Tories could win 339 seats (22 more than they took in 2017) and a vote share of 43%. While there are plenty of undecided voters out there, it’s hard to imagine last month’s argument in which Trump shouted incoherently over an exasperated Biden while Chris Wallace failed to keep order could have helped anyone make up their mind (although it could certainly have put them off politics altogether). 'So much work to do': How Biden is planning for transition, You may not agree with our views, or other users’, but please respond to them respectfully, Swearing, personal abuse, racism, sexism, homophobia and other discriminatory or inciteful language is not acceptable, Do not impersonate other users or reveal private information about third parties, We reserve the right to delete inappropriate posts and ban offending users without notification. Create a commenting name to join the debate, There are no Independent Premium comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts, There are no comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts. MORI have (or used to have) a nice tracker question asking if people like the leader, like the party, both or neither. Biden ahead in three states Trump won in 2016. Therefore Starmer’s ratings in his first few months look promising – YouGov had him neck-and-neck with Boris Johnson earlier this month, the latest Opinium poll for the Observer has him two points ahead of Johnson as preferred PM. Is he just preaching to the converted? Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICO’s editors and guest writers in Europe. That would rather undermine Ratcliffe’s claim this was the work of Trump enemies, seeing as their efforts would seemingly benefit him and hurt Biden. Explore the live extension of our journalism, The wonk's survival guide to the EU Green Deal. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals – all in one place. It allows our most engaged readers to debate the big issues, share their own experiences, discuss real-world solutions, and more. The Telegraph's poll tracker takes an average of the last 10 polls in order to take a full picture of the broad movements in the polling environment and not put too much weight on individual polls. YouGov’s questions on leader attributes give him strongly positive ratings on being decisive, strong, competent and likeable. Labour and Conservatives neck-and-neck in latest YouGov poll 19 Sep 2020 YouGov’s latest poll for the Times has topline voting intention figures of CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 6%, GRN 5% – the first time that the Conservatives have lost their lead in a YouGov poll since Boris Johnson became leader. Tabs for the Scottish polling are here. It is indeed easier to look Prime Ministerial when you are Prime Minister, and this is an advantage that the PM will enjoy in real life, and will enjoy come any election. The result was that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. “We cannot be complacent, I don't care about the polls," he said, dismissing Biden’s double-digit lead in most national polls. While the media narrative around the government’s handling of the Corona outbreak has turned far more negative, the polling suggests the public are still quite evenly split. Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Looking across the various polls it is clear that the two main parties were heading towards roughly equal levels of support and, therefore, normal margin of error was going to spit out a Labour lead soon enough. If the opening of the schools is seen as a failure (or worse, if death rates or infection rates are seen to start creeping back up again), it can only further damage the government’s standing with the public. “This will be one of the most important, most difficult and yes most costly transitions in modern American history," Chris Korge, the Democratic National Committee's finance chair, warned donors in a recent letter obtained by The Associated Press. Questions asking about Starmer in his own right also seem positive. It helps Keir Starmer to be seen as a winner, who has put the Labour party back into the lead. The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election using a 15-poll moving average. See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator. Campaigning, lobbying and political influence in the EU. Opinium also put out a poll showing the parties neck-and-neck at the end of August, though there most recent poll has the Conservatives ahead again. And in the latest update, Donald Trump is ahead in just two of the 14 battleground states, with Joe Biden holding leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.


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